Oscar Nominations

So the Oscar nominations came out this morning. They were good and bad. The Academy continues its love affair with all things that Clint Eastwood touches (yeah, that’s right, the “Dirty Harry” guy) and Million Dollar Baby came up with six major nominations (Best Picture, Best Actor, Best Actress, Best Supporting Actor, Best Director, Best Adapted Screenplay). The Aviator suprisingly came up with six major ones as well (Picture, Actor, Supporting Actor, Supporting Actress, Director, Original Screenplay). I haven’t seen either of these movies (nor many of the others that were nominated…I live in the Midwest…some of this stuff isn’t even out yet), but below is a list of all the nominations and my opinion on who will win and who should win.

ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

Alan Alda – THE AVIATOR

Thomas Haden Church – SIDEWAYS

Jamie Foxx – COLLATERAL

Morgan Freeman – MILLION DOLLAR BABY

Clive Owen – CLOSER

I’ve only seen two of these movies (Collateral, Sideways). Alli saw another one of them (Closer). We are going to see the Aviator before the Oscars and I would like to see Million Dollar Baby too. Nobody really impressed me all that much, although Alli said that Clive Owen was good and I like him so we’ll say that he should win it, but my guess is that Thomas Haden Church will win it…I can’t understand all the buzz about Sideways…it was terrible in my opinion, but my opinion doesn’t really matter.
WILL WIN: Thomas Haden Church
SHOULD WIN: Clive Owen
SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: James Garner, The Notebook

ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE

Cate Blanchett – THE AVIATOR

Laura Linney – KINSEY

Virginia Madsen – SIDEWAYS

Sophie Okonedo – HOTEL RWANDA

Natalie Portman – CLOSER

I’ve only seen Sideways, so I can’t really judge this flick. I thought Natalie Portman had a great year though. Would have liked to see her nominated for Garden State, but alas, Garden State was pretty much ignored, unfortunately.
WILL WIN: Natalie Portman
SHOULD WIN: Natalie Portman

ANIMATED FEATURE FILM

THE INCREDIBLES

SHARK TALE

SHREK 2

This one is easy. Shark Tale was overrated and Shrek 2 takes multiple viewings to appreciate. The Incredibles stands above the other two and could have contended for Best Picture this year. Pixar continues to dominate everything else.
WILL WIN: The Incredibles
SHOULD WIN: The Incredibles
WRITING (ADAPTED SCREENPLAY)BEFORE SUNSET

FINDING NEVERLAND

MILLION DOLLAR BABY

THE MOTORCYCLE DIARIES

SIDEWAYS

This is an extremely interesting category. I really really want Before Sunset to win this category. I haven’t seen a movie with better dialogue this year. Finding Neverland would be another good choice, and then you have both Million Dollar Baby and Sideways in the category.
WILL WIN: Sideways (unfortunately)
SHOULD WIN: Before Sunset

WRITING (ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY)

THE AVIATOR

ETERNAL SUNSHINE OF THE SPOTLESS MIND

HOTEL RWANDA

THE INCREDIBLES

VERA DRAKE

I really want Eternal Sunshine to win this. It was, in my opinion, the best movie of the year, certainly worthy of more accolades than it got. I wonder if people are just sick of Charlie Kauffman’s craziness (Being John Malkovich, Adaptation), but to ignore this movie is a shame. I also think it was a travesty that Garden State was completely overlooked.
WILL WIN: Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
SHOULD WIN: Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: Zach Braff, Garden State

DIRECTING

Martin Scorsese – THE AVIATOR

Clint Eastwood – MILLION DOLLAR BABY

Taylor Hackford – RAY

Alexander Payne – SIDEWAYS

Mike Leigh – VERA DRAKE

Another interesting category. Scorsese certainly has the sentimental vote considering he got shut out for Gangs of New York by convicted felon Roman Polanski. I would think that this is his year if Clint Eastwood were not in the category. I think that they are the top 2 choices with Payne being the dark horse.
WILL WIN: Clint Eastwood
SHOULD WIN: Martin Scorsese

ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE

Don Cheadle – HOTEL RWANDA

Johnny Depp – FINDING NEVERLAND

Leonardo DiCaprio – THE AVIATOR

Clint Eastwood – MILLION DOLLAR BABY

Jamie Foxx – RAY

I really think this category is Jamie Foxx’s to lose. Johnny Depp was terrific in Finding Neverland, but he is always terrific. Look for him to get nominated next year for Charlie and the Chocolate Factory. Don Cheadle is a dark horse in this category. Such a terrific actor and it’s good to see him finally getting some recognition. Leo, better luck next time…
WILL WIN: Jamie Foxx
SHOULD WIN: Jamie Foxx

ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE

Annette Bening – BEING JULIA

Catalina Sandino Moreno – MARIA FULL OF GRACE

Imelda Staunton – VERA DRAKE

Hilary Swank – MILLION DOLLAR BABY

Kate Winslet – ETERNAL SUNSHINE OF THE SPOTLESS MIND

My favorite, Kate Winslet, doesn’t have a chance. Hilary Swank is going to win, but with all of the nominations that Vera Drake received, I wouldn’t be surprised to see Imelda Staunton win. She’s my dark horse.
WILL WIN: Hilary Swank
SHOULD WIN: Kate Winslet

BEST PICTURE

THE AVIATOR

FINDING NEVERLAND

MILLION DOLLAR BABY

RAY
SIDEWAYS

I’m so unbelievably irritated that Eternal Sunshine didn’t get nominated that I want to puke. There has not been a more original movie in 5 years (and probably won’t be for another 5). This is a hard category to pick. I am really crossing my fingers that Sideways walks away with nothing and I really think it won’t win this one. However, out of these movies, I’ve actually only seen one. I have no idea how to judge this, but I’ll do my best.
WILL WIN: The Aviator
SHOULD WIN: Finding Neverland
SHOULD HAVE BEEN NOMINATED: Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind

Overall, it was a pretty good year for movies. I don’t think we’ll see the utter domination like last year’s Lord of the Rings, but if it will come from anyone, it will likely come from The Aviator. I really think this is Martin Scorsese’s year and everyone knows how hard he worked on it. But no one really knows. This is just knee-jerk reaction right now. We’ll see come February 27th.

Sidenote: The Razzie nominations are out too. Sucks to be Halle Berry…

Academy Awards of 2004 Thus Far

Since most studios save their best movies for the end of the year (so they can stay fresh in the minds of the Academy voters), oftentimes good movies from earlier in the year get forgotten. The following movies are my thoughts on the five major categories of movies that (as of November 12) had been in theaters thus far this year (and I have seen):

BEST PICTURE:
Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
Honorable Mention: The Notebook, The Incredibles

BEST ACTOR:
Johnny Depp, Finding Neverland
Honorable Mention: Brad Pitt, Troy; James Caviezel, The Passion of the Christ; Jim Carrey, Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind
BEST ACTRESS:
Uma Thurman, Kill Bill: Vol. 2
Honorable Mention: Kate Winslet, Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind

BEST DIRECTOR:
Mel Gibson, The Passion of the Christ

BEST SCREENPLAY:
Jared and Jerusha Hess, Napolean Dynamite
Honorable Mentions: Before Sunset, Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind, Saved!

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR:
James Garner, The Notebook
Honorable Mention: Jamie Foxx, Collateral

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS:
Dakota Fanning, Man on Fire
Honorable Mention: Raquel Castro, Jersey Girl

BEST ANIMATED MOVIE:
The Incredibles

There are a bunch of movies that are either out now, or coming out that I really want to see and that I think can be really good. I’m really psyched to see Alexander. Ocean’s Twelve looks good. I still really want to see Ray. I heard that Jamie Foxx‘s performance is spectacular.

Past that…I can’t really think of anything…